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71.
利用我国气象台站观测资料和再分析格点数据,诊断研究了前期春季(4-5月份)北大西洋涛动(North Atlantic Oscillation,NAO)和南半球环状模(Southern Annular Mode,SAM)在不同位相配置下对我国南方夏季降水异常变化的协同影响作用.分析结果表明,在剔除ENSO最强信号影响后,我国南方夏季降水异常分布显著地依赖于前期春季两个较为独立的年际变率主模态(NAO和SAM)位相的不同配置,即降水异常型主要表现为两个因子单独作用的叠加效果,当前春SAM正位相偏强而NAO负位相偏强时,二者的影响呈现协同正效应,我国南方夏季(6-7月份)降水表现为全区正异常,特别在长江中下游及其以南附近地区最为显著;反之,当前春SAM呈偏强的负位相而NAO偏强的正位相配置时,二者的影响呈现协同负效应,对应我国夏季长江中下游地区降水表现为显著负异常.对其可能的影响机理研究表明,在SAM与NAO位相相反情况下,二者均会通过海气相互作用过程影响到热带大西洋北部海温的异常变化,进而形成协同作用,增强北大西洋海温三极子模态异常信号,从而通过欧亚大陆的遥相关波列对东亚夏季风和我国南方降水产生显著影响.相比之下,当SAM与NAO同位相时,可能表现为抵消效应,不利于北大西洋海温三极子发展,从而削弱对我国南方夏季降水的影响,此方面还有待进一步研究. 相似文献
72.
利用CWQL检测JOPENS5.2系统仪器参数正确性 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
以锡林浩特地震台为例,利用CWQL软件调取JOPENS5.2系统台站实时数据与对应台站参数,计算台基噪声水平,检测该系统仪器参数正确性。分析认为,CWQL软件可用于日常地震观测系统数据质量检测,实现实时自动运用概率密度函数方法处理地震观测数据,得到各地震台站各分向PSD概率密度函数分布及RMS值,从而判断JOPESN5.2系统仪器参数正确性。 相似文献
73.
宿迁地震台地震监测能力分析 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
根据宿迁地震台地震计和数采参数、台站背景噪声等数据,结合历史地震观测数据,运用统计学计算方法,计算宿迁地震台地震监测能力。结果认为:宿迁地震台短周期台基背景噪声较大,微小地震监测能力较弱,但基本可以监测到M_L 2.0地方震,也可监测到150 km范围内周边城市M_L 2.5地震。 相似文献
74.
Multivariate properties of extreme precipitation events in the Pearl River basin,China: Magnitude,frequency, timing,and related causes 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1 下载免费PDF全文
Daily precipitation/temperature data collected at 74 weather stations across the Pearl River basin of China (PRBC), for the years 1952–2013, were used to analyse extreme precipitation (EP) processes at annual and seasonal scales in terms of precipitation magnitude, occurrence rates, and timing. Peak‐over‐threshold sampling, modified Mann‐Kendall trend tests, and Poisson regression model were utilized in this study. Causes driving the observed statistical behaviours of EP were investigated, focusing particularly on the impacts of temperature change and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). EP events, which occur mainly during April and September, are most frequent in June. At an annual scale, they are subject to relatively even interannual distributions during the wet season. Significant trends were observed in the magnitude, frequency, and timing of EP events during the dry seasons, although no such trends were seen during the wet seasons. Seasonal shifts in EP can easily trigger sudden flood or drought events and warming temperatures, and ENSO events also have significant impacts on EP processes across the PRBC, as reflected by their increased magnitude and frequency in the western PRBC and decreased precipitation magnitudes in the eastern PRBC during ENSO periods. These results provide important evidence of regional hydrological responses to global climate changes in terms of EP regimes in tropical and subtropical zones. 相似文献
75.
A multiphase approach for evaluating the horizontal and rocking impedances of pile group foundations 下载免费PDF全文
This paper advocates the use of a multiphase model, already developed for static or quasi‐static geotechnical engineering problems, for simulating the behaviour of piled raft foundations subject to horizontal as well as rocking dynamic solicitations. It is shown that such a model, implemented in a FEM code, yields appropriate predictions for the foundation impedance characteristics, provided that shear and bending effects in the piles are taken into account, thus corroborating the findings of the asymptotic homogenization theory. Besides, it is notably pointed out that such a multiphase‐based computational tool makes it possible to assess the dynamic behaviour of pile groups in a much quicker way than when using direct numerical simulations, which may face oversized problems when large pile groups are concerned. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
76.
77.
新疆温泉县地处多个构造体系交汇部位,发育多条断裂(裂隙)带,控制着温泉县基底构造及地热资源展布.在充分收集区域地质、水文地质、物探及地热资料基础上,通过对断裂构造特征研究,分析了温泉县地热资源的形成背景、赋存条件、分布规律及特征,为进一步研究、勘探及开发地热资源提供依据. 相似文献
78.
SY地区须家河组二段(下砂)储层类型复杂,各井中均见到砂层,但该砂层储集体有的为高孔隙而有的则致密,在区域平面上表现出分布不均匀的特点。对该段储层预测方法及种类也有较多,但常规叠后反演很难对其进行区分和识别。利用叠前AVO技术,建立储层段的AVO正演模型并采用相应的工作流程,然后利用P-G交汇法对砂岩储层进行解释,发现含气储层与非含气储层的P-G交汇特征不同,砂岩储层含气后则具有交汇趋势线角度增大及远离背境趋势线的特征;而砂岩非储层则相反;其次储层段的P-G交汇点所分布的象限也不相同。通过这些特征,对全区现有钻遇该储层段的钻井进行预测,预测结果和钻井气测情况相吻合,取得了如期效果。 相似文献
79.
80.
Anthropogenic influences on shoreline and nearshore evolution in the San Francisco Bay coastal system 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Analysis of four historical bathymetric surveys over a 132-year period has revealed significant changes to the morphology of the San Francisco Bar, an ebb-tidal delta at the mouth of San Francisco Bay estuary. From 1873 to 2005 the San Francisco Bar vertically-eroded an average of 80 cm over a 125 km2 area, which equates to a total volume loss of 100 ± 52 million m3 of fine- to coarse-grained sand. Comparison of the surveys indicates the entire ebb-tidal delta contracted radially, with the crest moving landward an average of 1 km. Long-term erosion of the ebb-tidal delta is hypothesized to be due to a reduction in the tidal prism of San Francisco Bay and a decrease in coastal sediment supply, both as a result of anthropogenic activities. Prior research indicates that the tidal prism of the estuary was reduced by 9% from filling, diking, and sedimentation. Compilation of historical records dating back to 1900 reveals that a minimum of 200 million m3 of sediment has been permanently removed from the San Francisco Bay coastal system through dredging, aggregate mining, and borrow pit mining. Of this total, ∼54 million m3 of sand-sized or coarser sediment was removed from central San Francisco Bay. With grain sizes comparable to the ebb-tidal delta, and its direct connection to the bay mouth, removal of sediments from central San Francisco Bay may limit the sand supply to the delta and open coast beaches. 相似文献